猪源严重紧缺!多省猪价或将继续冲高!

  • 日期:07-13
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皇家娱乐赌场

The situation of serious shortage of pigs has not changed! More province pig prices will force again, or will continue to rise high

Comprehensive Xinmu Network, Xinhua News Agency

Last week, the national pig price was stagnant at a high level. The northern pig market, which was led by this round, was under-required by the terminal pork. The profit margin of the slaughtering enterprise was low, which led to the decline of the operating rate. The pig price rose weakly and fell into continuous adjustment. Although it was greatly increased by the increase in the number of externally-adjusted pigs, the impact was too narrow, which failed to drive the national pig market to rise. The overall pig price fluctuated within 0.03 yuan. On the weekends, the number of provinces with more pigs has increased, and a new wave of rising tide will begin.

Near the weekend, the increase in pig prices has increased

As of July 4, the new herd price index was 133.82, and the national average price of pigs was 8.41 yuan/kg, which was 0.1 yuan/kg lower than the same period of the 26th week, a decrease of 1.12%; the price of corn (15% moisture) was 1989 yuan/Tons, down 6 yuan/ton from the same period of last week, the highest price in the week was 2013 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 1989 yuan/ton, the price of corn (15% moisture) continued to fall last week; the current ratio of pigs and grains is 8.46: 1 or so, pig food continued to decline slightly during the 26th week, but the overall profitability of farmers is still considerable.

Last week, the national hog price fell slightly: the low-cost pigs and products in the south flowed to the north, causing the local high-priced pigs to be slow-moving and successively lowering the price. The northern pig price fell into a small shock adjustment last week, while the market demand was insufficient. The overall profitability of the enterprise was not good, and the operating rate continued to be low. In addition, the southern epidemic continued to ferment. In the early part of the week, retail investors still sold in large quantities. In the latter part of the week, the situation improved slightly. The local low-price area bottomed out and the market sentiment warmed up. There is an increasing trend in areas where pig prices have risen in East China, Southwest China, and South China.

Supply contraction will be further revealed, and pig prices will continue to rise better.

xx据新华社7月6日报道,山东省畜牧局发布的最新统计数据显示,6月24日至6月30日,山东仔猪价格大幅上涨,生猪价格连续第四个月上涨周。分析认为,猪价预计将继续上涨。

山东仔猪价格大幅上涨,再次引领生猪价格上涨。目前仔猪价格为42.41元/公斤,同比上涨97.07%,比上月上涨3.74%,仔猪成本已超过猪育肥成本的一半。

据山东省畜牧局统计,全省26个市场价格受到监测。 6月24日至6月30日,山东省生猪平均价格为18.68元/公斤,同比上涨62.01%,比上月上涨4.59%。猪肉价格上涨29.45元/公斤,同比上涨44.22%,比上月上涨4.62%。猪粮比例为9.2: 1,链条增加3.49%。

销售放缓,冷冻肉类的消化以及需求的恢复基本上消除了生猪价格的短期抑制因素,并且生猪的价格已经到来。

山东省畜牧兽医信息中心高级动物职员胡智晟表示,自2018年8月以来,由于非洲猪瘟疫情的影响,母猪存量开始下降。根据正常的生产周期,母猪的流失将逐渐体现出来。 2019年6月及之后释放的活猪数量。同时,夏季母猪妊娠率低,冬春季腹泻导致仔猪存活率低,6月份生猪季节性低。后市后,供应紧缩将进一步显现,预计猪价将继续上涨。

本周生猪价格预测:稳中有升

The new animal husbandry price analysis department believes that although the current terminal demand is still insufficient, but the supply gap is larger; sub-regional view, the northern short-term adjustment by the low-cost pig source in the south, but transferred to the pig source can only ease the market temporarily Supply pressure can not solve the serious shortage of pigs. The weight of pigs in the south is rapidly decreasing, which means that the northerly pigs will start to decrease, and the northern pig market will rise again. The southern pig market will be in short supply with the rapid consumption of pigs. The situation will also be highlighted, and pig prices will rise steadily. It is recommended that all pig friends should pay attention to the market and the risk of the epidemic while doing daily production management, and timely release the pigs, not blindly pressing the bar.

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